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Mohammad Reza Farzanegan

COMMENT: Iran and the rise of the digital rentier state

A software glitch revealed Iranian officials bypass censorship with privileged "White SIMs" whilst citizens pay for VPNs. This two-tier system exposes regime hypocrisy—bandwidth as the new oil in a Digital Rentier State.
COMMENT: Iran and the rise of the digital rentier state
Iranian woman on mobile phone in Tehran street scene.
December 18, 2025

For a brief window in late November, the digital veil dropped in Tehran. A software update on X (formerly Twitter) inadvertently began displaying users' locations based on their IP addresses. For the rest of the world, it was a minor interface tweak. For Iranians, it was the accidental revelation of a state secret.

Users quickly noticed that the accounts of hard-line officials and state media propagandists displayed "Iran" as their location. This was technically impossible for an ordinary citizen. Because X and other major platforms are banned in Iran, the public must use Virtual Private Networks (VPNs) to access them, masking their locations as being in Europe or North America.

The "Iran" stamp on officials’ profiles confirmed the long-suspected existence of "White SIMs"—privileged SIM cards distributed to the political elite and select loyalists that bypass the state’s censorship firewall.

But this revelation is more than just a story about hypocrisy. As an economist specialising in the Middle East, I see this as the definitive arrival of a new economic and political structure: the "Digital Rentier State."

For decades, scholars have analysed the resource curse in the Middle East. In a classic Rentier State, the government derives the majority of its revenue from selling natural resources (like oil) rather than taxing its citizens. This breaks the fundamental bond of representation: Because the state does not need the people’s money, it does not require their consent. It buys loyalty with subsidies and ignores dissent.

The White SIM scandal proves this dynamic has migrated to the digital realm. Bandwidth is the new oil.

In the Digital Rentier State, access to the global internet is treated not as a right or a public utility, but as a strategic resource to be hoarded, refined, and distributed selectively. Just as the political power controls the oil valves, it now controls the data gateways. It has created a rigid two-tier society: a "connected" caste that acts as the gatekeeper of information, and a disconnected majority that must pay a "digital tax" to survive.

This tax is literal. As my research on the impact of sanctions has shown, the Iranian middle class has been hollowed out by inflation and external pressure over the last decade. Now, to maintain access to the world, which is essential for education, business, and basic communication, ordinary families must pay exorbitant fees for VPNs. They are forced to channel money into an illicit economy often controlled by shadowy figures linked to the very state apparatus blocking them.

Meanwhile, the ruling elite, who champion a "resistance economy" and rail against Western cultural invasion, utilise free, high-speed connections to post propaganda on Western platforms. They enjoy the digital resource for free while selling a polluted, filtered version to their subjects.

Why does this technical asymmetry matter for the regime’s survival? Because in a Digital Rentier State, inequality becomes viscerally visible.

In our new research on the relationship between the internet and regime stability, my co-author and I found that internet penetration acts as an amplifier of grievance. In societies with high inequality, access to information allows citizens to see the disparity between their lives and the lives of the elite with painful clarity.

The White SIM controversy has poured gasoline on this fire. It is one thing to suspect your leaders live by different rules; it is another to see the evidence stamped on their social media profiles.

When a young, unemployed Iranian, part of the demographic "youth bulge" that is a critical political force, sees a state official tweeting effortlessly from Tehran while they struggle to connect via a slow, expensive VPN, the psychological contract between state and citizen fractures. It creates a potent sense of "relative deprivation," a feeling that one is unjustly disadvantaged compared to the ruling class.

There is also a grave security dimension. The X update exposed that the regime’s protectionist internet policies are a sham. By identifying officials connecting directly from Iran, the platform exposed the government’s vulnerability. If a social media company can unmask the elite, it can also unmask the dissidents whose VPNs momentarily fail.

This creates a terrifying "Panopticon" effect. The digital lifeline provided by external VPNs is not a fail-safe. The glitch serves as a stark reminder that this infrastructure cannot fully protect against platform-side exposures. A momentary drop in a connection can instantly strip away anonymity, leaving activists exposed. Citizens feel constantly watched, but now they know the watchers are breaking their own rules.

In our analysis of the "Woman, Life, Freedom" protests, we found that exposure to state violence drastically reduces life satisfaction. This creates a combustible situation. As we have shown in separate research across the Middle East, plummeting life satisfaction is a key driver of the "taste for revolt." The digital apartheid adds to this misery; it is a form of psychological violence, a daily humiliation that reminds citizens of their second-class status.

The Islamic Republic has survived for decades by managing the distribution of oil rents to buy loyalty. But it cannot buy digital loyalty. By creating a caste system of internet access, the state has inadvertently highlighted its own fragility.

The White SIMs are a warning. In a hyper-connected world, a political system cannot hide its hypocrisy forever. When digital walls are built high, the officials standing on top become the most visible targets for the anger of those trapped below. The government may have unfiltered internet, but it has lost the ability to filter the truth from the eyes of its people.

Author Bio:
Mohammad Reza Farzanegan is Professor of Economics of the Middle East at the Centre for Near and Middle Eastern Studies (CNMS), Philipps-Universität Marburg, Germany.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of bne IntelliNews. This op-ed represents the author's independent analysis and commentary.

 

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