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Missile War Monitor: Trump clears Russian diesel imports as Ukrainian drones set Rostov fuel terminal ablaze

The US licensed Russian diesel imports after a Trump-Putin deal, hours before Ukrainian drones set fire to a Rostov-on-Don terminal that ships Russian fuel.
Missile War Monitor: Trump clears Russian diesel imports as Ukrainian drones set Rostov fuel terminal ablaze
Washington licensed Russian diesel imports after a Trump-Putin deal, hours before drones set fire to a Rostov-on-Don terminal that ships Russian fuel, as Moscow claimed 560 drones downed overnight.
October 10, 2026

The US Treasury issued a temporary licence allowing Russian diesel to be sold to and imported into the US until April 7, 2027, after President Donald Trump announced a deal with Vladimir Putin on October 9 to release 300,000 tonnes of diesel immediately, 500,000 tonnes in November and 1mn tonnes after that, RFE/RL reported. Zelenskiy called the waiver a gift: "Gifts to Putin will not bring peace or any benefit to the civilized world."

Hours later drones set fire to the NZNP oil-loading terminal in Rostov-on-Don, formerly Yug Rusi, which ships products from the Novoshakhtinsk plant, independent outlet Astra said after geolocating residents' footage, UNN reported. Russia's defence ministry claimed 560 Ukrainian drones were destroyed between 20:00 on October 9 and 08:00 on October 10, Interfax reported.

Ukraine hit Lukoil's Ukhta refinery in Russia's far north and a Tver chemical plant that makes cruise-missile fuel, as Kyiv's mayor warned the battered capital was fighting for survival.

President Volodymyr Zelenskiy confirmed the Ukhta strike on October 9, saying long-range An-196 drones hit the refinery 1,900 km from Ukraine's border, NV reported. The head of the Komi Republic, Rostislav Goldstein, said the attack caused no damage to infrastructure. Ukraine's General Staff confirmed a strike on the Redkino Experimental Plant in the Tver region, which makes a fuel component for Kh-55 and Kh-101 cruise missiles, the Kyiv Independent reported.

In Kyiv, Mayor Vitali Klitschko told AFP that residents with friends or relatives outside the capital should leave, though he did not order an evacuation, after nights of blackouts halted the metro and cut water pressure, TASS and the Kyiv Post reported. Prime Minister Serhii Koretskyi said Russia was "continuously launching jet-powered Shahed drones to prevent us from carrying out repairs quickly", Ukrinform reported.

Russian attacks killed at least 41 people and injured 67 across Ukraine over the day to October 9, the Kyiv Independent reported, citing regional authorities. Early on October 10 guided bombs hit a five-storey apartment block in Zaporizhzhia, killing five people, including two children, regional official Ivan Fedorov said, Suspilne reported.

Refinery strikes

Komi Republic: Ukrainian drones struck Lukoil's Ukhta refinery on the morning of October 9, and Zelenskiy confirmed the attack the same day, NV reported. Independent outlet Astra geolocated footage of smoke rising from the refinery grounds, and Ukhta airport was briefly closed, the Kyiv Independent reported. Mayor Marina Meteleva called the situation under control, The Moscow Times reported, and Komi head Goldstein said there was no damage to infrastructure. Lukoil had not commented and no halt was reported at the time of writing. It was at least the third strike on the plant, after August 2025 and February 2026.

Omsk region: UPDATE, October 8: Zelenskiy also confirmed the strike on the Omsk refinery, NV reported. Gazprom Neft had not commented and no halt was reported at the time of writing.

Nationwide: Bloomberg counted four Russian refineries hit by Ukraine in the week, with a combined design capacity of about 720,000 b/d, though it said not all of that would go offline. Plants reported halted or cut so far in October account for about 14.8mn tonnes a year, or 5% of Russia's 327mn tonnes nameplate capacity, by IntelliNews' refinery ledger, and up to 162.9mn tonnes, or 50%, if halts reported earlier still hold. Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak put capacity under repair at about 10% in early September.

United States: the Treasury licence comes as Ukraine's refinery campaign squeezes Russian fuel output. Ukraine's sanctions commissioner Vladyslav Vlasiuk argued that easing the diesel sanctions showed the Iran conflict, not Ukrainian strikes on refineries, was driving the price rise, RFE/RL reported. Diesel futures fell about 4% on the news but were still more than 110% above their level at the start of the year. Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Moscow was ready to raise supplies in October, with exports expected to rise in November and December.

Metal plants hit

Dnipropetrovsk region: a jet-powered Shahed again struck an unnamed "infrastructure facility" in Kryvyi Rih on October 9, said Oleksandr Vilkul, head of the city's military administration, Censor.net reported. No strike on a named steel, iron ore, coke, ferroalloy, pipe or non-ferrous plant was reported for October 9 or the night of October 9-10 at the time of writing.

Oil depots, factories and military targets in Russia

Tver region: UPDATE, night of October 8-9: Ukraine's General Staff confirmed the strike on the Redkino Experimental Plant, without a damage assessment, the Kyiv Independent reported. Governor Vitaly Korolev said a fire had been put out and staff had sheltered, with no workers hurt, the Kyiv Post reported. The plant was first hit in February.

Nizhny Novgorod region: the General Staff said it also struck a site of the Barmin Research Institute of Launch Complexes, part of TsENKI, and a centre for dismantling intercontinental ballistic missiles near Surovatikha, Militarnyi reported. Governor Gleb Nikitin confirmed a night drone attack and said falling debris damaged infrastructure. The damage to the two sites has not been independently confirmed.

Kaluga: a drone attack overnight on October 9 "completely disabled" several modules of a Yandex data centre in Kaluga, the company said, the second strike on its data centres in two days, Meduza reported. Yandex shares fell about 4% in Moscow. Governor Vladislav Shapsha said nine people were injured across the region and 26 drones were downed, Euromaidan Press reported. Zelenskiy said "another data center" had been hit, without naming it.

Belgorod region: NASA's FIRMS satellite system detected a fire at an oil depot north of Belgorod, the Ukrainian monitoring channel Exilenova+ reported, according to the Kyiv Independent. No Ukrainian official has claimed the depot. Governor Alexander Shuvaev said four people were killed and 12 injured in the region on October 9, Lenta.ru reported, while the regional headquarters reported two killed and four injured in the Belgorod district. Overnight on October 10 an enterprise and a gas pipeline were damaged in Novy Oskol, the regional headquarters said, Fontanka reported.

Occupied Luhansk: a drone attack overnight on October 9 set fires in several districts of the city and cut power to several neighbourhoods, Informator reported, citing Exilenova+. Russian-installed leader Leonid Pasechnik claimed about 110 aerial targets were downed in a day and said two civilians were killed and 16 injured, TASS reported. Neither side named what was hit.

Rostov region: Astra geolocated a large fire overnight on October 10 to the NZNP oil-loading terminal in Rostov-on-Don's Zheleznodorozhny district, formerly Yug Rusi, which is supplied by the Novoshakhtinsk Oil Products Plant and has a design capacity of about 2.5mn tonnes of oil products a year, UNN reported. Ukraine's General Staff said it hit the same terminal on July 9; no Ukrainian claim for last night had been made at the time of writing. Governor Yuri Slyusar confirmed an air attack and a fire without naming the site, said at least 50 drones were intercepted over the region and reported no casualties from the fire, the Kyiv Post reported.

Drones also damaged a railway bridge and several apartment blocks in Rostov-on-Don, Slyusar said, Lenta.ru reported. Trains have resumed with 16 delayed, two vessels were damaged in Azov and warehouses caught fire, Fontanka reported. Fontanka put the number injured in the region at six, against one in Slyusar's earlier statement.

Moscow: Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said 10 drones flying at the capital were destroyed overnight on October 10, after 15 on the evening of October 9, Fontanka reported. He reported no damage. Restrictions at Moscow's airports had delayed more than 370 flights and cancelled 62 over the previous 24 hours by the evening of October 9, including 158 delays at Vnukovo and 157 at Sheremetyevo, APA reported.

Oryol region: a drone attack overnight on October 10 damaged a power substation in the Znamensky district, cutting power to part of the district, and 13 drones were downed with no one hurt, Governor Andrei Klychkov said, Fontanka reported.

Samara region: Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev said "several dozen" drones were downed overnight on October 10 with no casualties, TV Samara reported. The aviation authority restricted flights at Samara and Ulyanovsk airports, Interfax reported.

Nationwide: Russia's defence ministry claimed 505 Ukrainian drones were destroyed overnight on October 9 over 19 regions, occupied Crimea and the Black and Azov seas, the Kyiv Post reported, and a further 62 between 08:00 and 20:00 Moscow time, EADaily reported. Russia's defence ministry claimed its Geran drones hit a logistics centre, power substations and an air defence system deep inside Ukraine, TASS reported on October 8. Overnight on October 10 the ministry claimed 560 drones destroyed over 15 regions, the Moscow region, Crimea and the Azov and Black seas, Interfax reported.

Ukraine's campaign against Russian online retailers has made night evacuations routine at Wildberries and Ozon warehouses, where strikes over two months killed 12 people, according to a count by the Conflict Intelligence Team, The New York Times reported on October 8.

Ukraine under fire

Nationwide: Russia launched 136 drones on the night of October 8-9, including 93 jet-powered Shahed-type drones, and 114 were shot down or suppressed, including 77 jet drones, Ukraine's Air Force said, the Kyiv Independent reported. Russian attacks killed at least 41 people and injured 67 over the day, it said. Suspilne correspondents heard explosions in Zaporizhzhia, Ivano-Frankivsk and Mykolaiv on the morning of October 10, Suspilne reported. On the night of October 9-10 Russia launched 160 drones, 110 of them jet-powered, and 117 were shot down or suppressed, with hits at 14 locations, the Air Force said, UNN reported.

Places where explosions and strikes were reported across Ukraine during the Russian drone attack of October 9, as mapped by the monitoring account Military Summary. Not independently verified. Source: Military Summary.

Grid operator Ukrenergo said Russia had changed tactics: "The enemy's new tactic is continuous strikes on substations and transmission and distribution lines, particularly near large cities with high levels of energy consumption." The attacks "complicate or even prevent the transmission of the required amount of electricity to certain areas, even when surplus generating capacity is available in other regions", it said, NV reported.

Kyiv: grid operator DTEK said the capital returned to scheduled power cuts on the morning of October 9 after emergency outages were lifted, UNN reported. On the evening of October 8, all three metro lines stopped when stations lost power, the Kyiv Post reported. Deputy city administration head Petro Panteleiev said 700 generators had been installed at water and heating sites, but large pumping stations need dedicated power plants, and water pressure was reduced in four right-bank districts, Hromadske reported. The city is building about 1,600 MW of backup heating capacity.

Koretskyi said continuous attacks had caused major damage at several facilities supplying Kyiv and the central regions, with repairs going on around the clock, Ukrinform reported.

Zelenskiy on October 9 accused Kyiv's city authorities of "almost complete failure to carry out the necessary steps" in the capital's resilience plan, Dzerkalo Tyzhnia reported. The city administration said the same day that the state had unblocked payments for backup heating, cogeneration plants and backup power for water utilities, frozen in September because of a budget shortfall, LB.ua reported.

Zaporizhzhia: guided bombs hit the courtyard of an apartment block between 05:00 and 06:00 on October 9, killing one man and injuring 23, acting regional military administration head Mykhailo Semikin said, Ukrinform reported. On the morning of October 10 several guided bombs damaged a five-storey building, killing five, including two children, and injuring 11, Fedorov said, Suspilne reported. Rescuers were still searching the rubble.

Donetsk region: UPDATE, October 8: Governor Vadym Filashkin said 35 people were killed in the region over the day, 32 of them in Kramatorsk and three in Bilenke, the Kyiv Independent reported. Earlier counts for the Kramatorsk bus strike ranged from "at least 30" to 33.

Dnipropetrovsk region: Shahed drones on the evening of October 8 and a jet-powered drone on the morning of October 9 damaged two facilities of DTEK Dniprovski Elektromerezhi and started a fire, with no staff hurt, DTEK said, Ukrinform reported. On the evening of October 9 a strike set fire to a logistics company's warehouses in the Dnipro district, regional head Oleksandr Hanzha said, Ukrinform reported.

Odesa: a large-scale attack damaged the roof of a food storage warehouse in the city, while a cafe and other civilian sites in the south of the region were hit, Ukrainska Pravda reported, citing the State Emergency Service.

Chernihiv region: a Geran-type drone hit a hypermarket on the outskirts of Chernihiv overnight on October 9, causing a fire, the Kyiv Independent reported, citing the regional administration.

Rivne region: an attack on October 9 badly damaged the home of a family with many children in the north of the region, regional head Oleksandr Koval said. Ukrinform reported five people injured; NV later put the number at seven, citing Koval.

Ivano-Frankivsk: a 67-year-old man was killed in a Russian attack on the city, Governor Svitlana Onyshchuk said, the Kyiv Independent reported.

Data centres, telecoms, media and R&D

Nationwide: no new strike on a Ukrainian data centre, telecoms operator, broadcaster or research site was reported for October 9 or the night of October 9-10 at the time of writing. Asked about the strike on a Yandex data centre, Zelenskiy said, "We always respond in kind," adding that the Russians "have been and still are striking our data centers", the Kyiv Independent reported.

Weapons and technology

Ukraine: Zelenskiy said the Ukhta strike used An-196 drones and named the Omsk weapon as the FP-6, a modified FP-1, NV reported. Ukraine's Special Operations Forces had earlier described the Omsk drones as upgraded FP-1s.

Defence Minister Evgeniy Khmara told German counterpart Boris Pistorius on October 8 that German support was helping Ukraine shoot down jet-powered drones, and asked for more IRIS-T interceptors, Ukraine's defence ministry said. They also discussed joint drone production.

Spain and Greece: both are still refusing to hand Ukraine Patriot interceptors that are close to expiry, despite pressure from the EU and Nato, The Telegraph reported on October 9, according to NV. Greece holds at least 200 PAC-2 missiles near the end of their service life, the paper said. Spain's foreign minister said last month Madrid would send five interceptors. Neither government had commented.

Ukrainian maker F-Drones said the US had ordered another 1,320 of its F10 strike drones under the Pentagon's drone dominance programme, with delivery due by the end of November, Gordon reported. The order still needs Ukrainian export approval.

French analyst Clement Molin counted 770 Russian trucks and other vehicles hit by Ukrainian drones in September, a monthly record in his series, with the R-280 highway on the land corridor to occupied Crimea a main target, NEXTA reported. The count is his own and has not been independently verified.

Russia: the United Aircraft Corporation delivered a second batch of Su-34 fighter-bombers this year on October 7, without saying how many, the Kyiv Post reported. Open-source assessments suggest output has almost doubled since 2022, the paper said.

France and Germany: France's top general Fabien Mandon told lawmakers on October 8 that Germany had withdrawn from the joint MGCS tank programme, Politico reported. He later softened the remark, and on October 9 Pistorius said the project "has not been abandoned", EurAsian Times reported.

Arson and sabotage in the EU and the UK

UK: Ministry of Defence Police arrested two Latvian nationals living in the UK, aged 36 and 32, after a fence was breached at RAF Molesworth, a base used by US forces, on the night of October 7-8, Militarnyi reported, citing The New York Times. They were held on suspicion of entering a prohibited place under the National Security Act. Police gave no motive and named no state.

A 24-year-old serviceman, Teddy Young, appeared in court on October 8 charged with two National Security Act offences of trying to pass protected information to a foreign power, Baird Maritime reported. Police have not named the country.

Montenegro: police and the National Security Agency detained Mikhail Zvinchuk, founder of the pro-war Russian Telegram channel Rybar, and three other Russians on October 9 "for reasons of national and internal security", and they are to be expelled, The Moscow Times reported. No charges were reported; Rybar said the team had come to film a monastery.

Moldova: an interactive map by Radio Free Europe's Moldovan service records 39 drone and nine missile crashes in Moldova, with a sharp rise in recent months.

Tit for tat

Washington eased sanctions on Russian diesel on the day Ukraine kept up its campaign against Russian fuel. Within hours, drones set fire to a Rostov terminal that ships Russian oil products, and Zelenskiy warned that Russia would "repay" the diesel "with further terror and perfidy", RFE/RL reported.

Russia is using jet-powered Shaheds to keep knocking out Kyiv's power and water faster than crews can repair them, and the capital's mayor is now telling residents who can leave to go. Ukraine answered with a second Yandex data centre in two days, Ukhta, the fourth Russian refinery hit in a week by Bloomberg's count, and the Redkino plant, which makes a fuel component for the cruise missiles Russia fires at Kyiv. Zelenskiy called the data-centre strike a symmetrical response.

The ledgers

The running ledgers are kept as six public spreadsheets at permanent addresses. The first three are non-exhaustive, every row is sourced, and where only one side has spoken the row says so. Defence ministry figures are recorded as claims, and in the sabotage ledger attribution is given exactly as the authorities state it and no further. The fourth tracks what has happened to Ukraine's steel, iron ore, coke, ferroalloy and non-ferrous plants since 2021, grouped by owner. The fifth tracks strikes on data centres, telecoms, media and research sites; the sixth tracks refinery strikes.

RUSSIA STRIKES LEDGER: Russian strikes on Ukraine's economic infrastructure, 399 rows

UKRAINE STRIKES LEDGER: Ukrainian strikes on economic infrastructure in Russia and occupied territory, 250 rows

ARSON & SABOTAGE LEDGER: Arson, sabotage and drone incursions in the EU and the UK, 79 rows

METAL STRIKES LEDGER: Ukraine's metals and mining assets: 2021 baseline against status in September 2026, 38 plants and mines

DATA CENTRE & TELECOM STRIKES LEDGER: Data centres, telecoms, media and research sites hit in Ukraine, 37 rows

REFINERY STRIKES LEDGER: Russian oil refineries hit, and how badly, 27 refineries

Refinery Region Capacity (mn t/yr) Strikes Latest hit Worst damage (0-4) Status now
Ryazan Ryazan region 17.1 15 September 6, 2026 4 Halted (September 10, 2026)
Moscow (Kapotnya) Moscow 12 5 September 20, 2026 4 Halted (September 22, 2026)
Kirishi (KINEF) Leningrad region 20.1 8 August 30, 2026 4 Halted (September 15, 2026)
Yaroslavl (Slavneft-YANOS) Yaroslavl region 15 15 September 17, 2026 4 Halted (September 17, 2026)
Nizhny Novgorod (Lukoil NORSI, Kstovo) Nizhny Novgorod region 17 10 August 26, 2026 4 Partly operating (~25%) (September 15, 2026)
Volgograd Volgograd region 14.8 12 October 2, 2026 4 Halted (October 6, 2026)
Saratov Saratov region 7 10 September 11, 2026 4 Halted (September 16, 2026)
Syzran Samara region 8.5 10 September 15, 2026 4 Halted (September 16, 2026)
Novokuibyshevsk Samara region 8.3 7 August 22, 2026 4 Unknown after 22 Aug 2026 fire (August 22, 2026)
Kuibyshev (Samara) Samara region 7 6 September 23, 2026 4 Unknown after 22 Sep 2026 strike (September 23, 2026)
Tuapse Krasnodar region 12 11 May 27, 2026 4 Halted (no restart reported) (April 21, 2026)
Afipsky Krasnodar region 6.2 15 August 25, 2026 1 No halt reported (August 27, 2026)
Ilsky Krasnodar region 6.6 14 September 26, 2026 3 Halt claimed by Ukraine's Fire Point, not confirmed (September 26, 2026)
Slavyansk ECO Krasnodar region 5.2 9 September 13, 2026 4 No halt reported after 13 Sep 2026 (September 17, 2026)
Krasnodar Krasnodar region 3 2 August 30, 2025 1 No halt reported (August 30, 2025)
Novoshakhtinsk Rostov region 5 7 September 25, 2026 4 Halted (temporarily suspended) (September 25, 2026)
Ufa group (Bashneft: Ufaneftekhim, Novoil, UNPZ) Bashkortostan 23.4 15 September 23, 2026 2 Operating, units under repair (September 22, 2026)
Salavat Bashkortostan 10 6 October 8, 2026 4 Halted (no restart reported) (August 14, 2026)
Nizhnekamsk (TANECO) Tatarstan 16 7 September 13, 2026 4 Unclear / partly operating (September 18, 2026)
Nizhnekamsk (TAIF-NK) Tatarstan 7.3 1 July 8, 2026 0 Operating (July 27, 2026)
Perm (Lukoil) Perm region 13.1 6 September 25, 2026 4 Halted (September 25, 2026)
Orsk Orenburg region 6.6 4 August 11, 2026 4 Halted (repairs up to six months) (August 13, 2026)
Omsk Omsk region 21 2 October 8, 2026 4 Unclear (restarted late July; later reported stopped) (September 15, 2026)
Tyumen (Antipinsky) Tyumen region 9 3 July 25, 2026 4 Halted (no restart reported) (July 28, 2026)
Ukhta (Lukoil) Komi Republic 4.2 3 October 9, 2026 1 Unknown (February 12, 2026)
Pervyi Zavod (Kaluga mini-refinery) Kaluga region 1.2 2 May 10, 2024 1 Operating (November 19, 2025)
Nevsky Mazut (St Petersburg) St Petersburg   1 January 31, 2024 1 Unknown (January 31, 2024)

Russian oil refineries hit by Ukrainian strikes, as of October 10, 2026. Non-exhaustive; strike counts are floors. Damage: 0 claimed, no damage confirmed; 1 fire or minor damage; 2 secondary unit damaged, output reduced; 3 primary distillation unit damaged; 4 refinery halted. Plants reported halted or cut in Oct 2026 account for about 14.8 mn t/yr, about 5% of the 327 mn t/yr nameplate total; up to 162.9 mn t/yr (50%) if earlier halts still hold. Russian officials put capacity under repair at about 10% (Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, early September). Status mostly from unnamed industry sources cited by Reuters. Full sourced ledger: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AHjZvX9Hf-6jdKxcTE8Dw7f6O2_svY0kX54sqKPyU_s

Production note

This article was produced with the help of IntelliNews Lambda analytical tool

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