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Hannah Ritchie for Our World in Data

Which countries have fertility rates above the replacement level - OWID

Fertility rates — which measure the average number of children per woman — have been falling worldwide. Since 1950, global fertility rates have halved, from almost 5 children per woman to 2.2, Our World in Data (OWID) reports.
Which countries have fertility rates above the replacement level - OWID
Only a handful of countries have fertility rates above the 2.1 replacement rate to keep populations stable. Almost the entire world is suffering from a demographic decline, with Africa and Central Asia as the notable exceptions.
April 24, 2026

Fertility rates — which measure the average number of children per woman — have been falling worldwide. Since 1950, global fertility rates have halved, from almost 5 children per woman to 2.2, Our World in Data  (OWID)  reports.

As a result, global population growth has slowed dramatically, and many countries' populations are expected to decline by the end of the century.

This is because fertility rates in many countries have fallen below the “replacement level”. This is the level at which a population replaces itself from one generation to the next. It’s generally defined as a rate of 2.1 children per woman.

The map shows which countries had fertility rates above and below this level in 2025. This is based on projections from the UN World Population Prospects.

Explore how fertility rates have changed across countries over time, and how they are projected to evolve through 2100.

 

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