The US wants Peru back, but China never left

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio flew out of Lima on September 10, wrapping up a Latin American tour that had also taken him to Colombia and Ecuador, and delivering just the kind of headline Washington wanted. Peru was the latest country to officially join the "Shield of the Americas", a security coalition of like-minded and conservative-led nations that Donald Trump built to police Latin America's underworld. President Keiko Fujimori, the right-wing firebrand inaugurated in July, called it a golden era. Rubio, not one for understatement, agreed. Strip away the ceremony in the Cáceres room, the reception hall inside Lima's presidential palace where the two delegations sat down, and what's left is a blunter story: an American administration trying to buy back influence in a country whose biggest trading partner sits in Beijing, using a toolkit of frigates, fighter jets and a doctrine that increasingly looks like Monroe with a Florida accent.
Officials in the Trump administration have taken to calling it the "Donroe doctrine", a fusion of the president's first name and the 19th-century Monroe Doctrine that declared Latin America a US sphere of influence. It captures a policy built on the same premise as 1823: that the hemisphere answers first to Washington. Rubio, however, insists the opposite is true, that America only acts when its "partners" ask. What happened in rural Ecuador six months earlier complicates that claim, and what happened in Lima nine days before he landed shows how far Peru is willing to go to prove it is listening.
A shield with holes
In March, six months before Rubio touched down in Lima, US and Ecuadorean forces carried out a strike that Pentagon officials publicly claimed as a hit on a narco-trafficking compound, releasing video of the explosion. A New York Times investigation published three weeks later, based on interviews with the farm's owner, four of its workers, human rights lawyers and local residents, found the actual target was a cattle and dairy farm, and that Ecuadorean soldiers beat, dunked and gave electric shocks to workers during interrogation. Ecuadorean officials did not respond to the Times' questions. That episode still hangs over every cooperation promise made in Lima this week.
The Shield's stated purpose is narrower: shared intelligence against extortion gangs and cocaine networks. Peru has genuine reasons to want in. It is the world's second-largest coca producer; extortion complaints have risen eightfold since 2018 and homicides more than doubled. The capture of Jhonsson Cruz, alias "Jhonsson Pulpo", in Bolivia with FBI and DEA help was real, and Fujimori was quick to claim it as proof of concept. But folding Peruvian security policy into an American-led coalition also means accepting an architecture that, months earlier, destroyed a farm and called it counter-narcotics.
Choosing sides before the plane lands
Peru's foreign ministry broke diplomatic relations with Iran on September 1, citing Tehran's record on democracy and press freedom. The two countries had no embassies in each other's capitals and barely any relationship to sever, a fact Iran's foreign ministry spokesman, Esmaeil Baghaei, seized on, dismissing the move as an empty gesture staged for Rubio's benefit, timed nine days before his tour began. Whether the White House asked for it directly or Lima simply read the room, the effect was the same: a symbolic loyalty payment, cost-free at home, cashed in before the visitor even landed.
The friends who run the relationship
Two men explain more about this visit than any communiqué. Ambassador Bernie Navarro grew up with Rubio in South Florida; the two have been friends since childhood, and Navarro ran the finance operation for Rubio's 2016 presidential campaign before Trump dispatched him to Lima. It was Navarro who, in April, threatened Peru with "all available tools" when then-interim president José María Balcázar tried to delay a $3.5bn purchase of Lockheed Martin F-16s. Balcázar backed down; the treasury wired $462mn to Lockheed anyway, and his foreign and defence ministers resigned in protest, one of them accusing the president of lying to the country about a deal he had already authorised.
On the Peruvian side sits Carlos Espá, Fujimori's foreign minister, who spent fifteen years, from 2008 to 2023, running press and cultural communications for the US embassy in Lima before founding his own party and later joining her cabinet. He is not just a career diplomat; he is, by his own résumé, a career communicator for the country he now negotiates with. None of this makes either man corrupt. It does make the golden-era rhetoric look less like a meeting of equals and more like two branches of the same network shaking hands for the cameras.
Chancay, data centres, and the war Washington cannot win outright
Rubio never mentioned China once in the joint press conference with Fujimori, a silence Peruvian analysts read as tactical: naming Beijing directly would force her to choose, and she will not choose. Instead, the pressure arrived a day early and through a different door. On September 8, one day before Rubio landed, Navarro signed an AI and cybersecurity memorandum with Prime Minister Luis Galarreta committing both governments to build "secure digital infrastructure, including cloud computing, data centres, next-generation networks and 5G supply chains". Navarro used the signing to tell Peru to "choose well" its technology partners, warning that AI "developed and controlled by extra-hemispheric providers" (unnamed, unmistakably China) threatened national security. The port dispute and the data centre deal are the same argument in two different registers.
On Chancay itself, the record cuts against Washington's narrative. A Peruvian court initially sided with Cosco, the Chinese port operator, in January, exempting it from regulatory oversight. An appeals court reversed that on June 17, restoring the regulator Ositrán's supervisory powers. Cosco appealed again, and on July 24 the case was sent to the Constitutional Tribunal, where it remains unresolved. Peru's own institutions have pushed back on Chancay harder than Washington's rhetoric gives them credit for.
The trade numbers explain why Fujimori won't pick a side outright. China bought $24.3bn of Peruvian exports in the first seven months of 2026, against $5.97bn for the US. Chinese investment tops $30bn and Beijing has held the top trading-partner spot for twelve straight years. Rubio's column in El Comercio called that predatory. Peruvians who watched copper and gold carry their economy through a decade of nine presidents and four impeachments call it indispensable.
A golden era for whom?
What Rubio delivered in material terms was modest next to the rhetoric: two King Air surveillance aircraft worth $35mn, $20mn in foreign military financing, and under $1mn combined in cultural and language grants. Peru's status as a major non-Nato Ally, the one substantial piece of leverage in play, was not new; Washington conferred it in January, a designation that fast-tracks Peruvian access to US arms sales and surplus defence equipment without the vote or treaty obligations that come with actual Nato membership. The real money moves through the F-16 order and the roughly $1.5bn Callao naval base upgrade, a combined defence bill near $5bn flowing mostly toward Lockheed Martin and American contractors, not toward Peru's $150bn infrastructure gap.
None of the three players here deserve much sympathy. Washington is rebuilding a sphere of influence through fighter jets, friendship networks and a diplomatic gesture manufactured against a country it barely spoke to, while its own military destroyed a farm months ago and called it counter-narcotics. Beijing's patience looks less like partnership than a slow-motion capture of Peru's ports, grid and mines, dressed in the language of mutual benefit. And Fujimori, who built her campaign on her father's authoritarian legacy, has bet her presidency on a coalition led by a government whose record this year includes credible allegations of abuse against the partners it claims to protect. The new era she and Rubio ushered in this week is not really about Peru's sovereignty, but about which empire gets to write the next chapter of a country too rich in copper, and too well placed on the Pacific, to be left alone by either one.
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